Tuesday, September 27, 2011

How I Did: Week 3

This is where you get to see the results of my predictions and determine whether you trust me or not. Remember, if I call someone a "HIT" it doesn't necessarily mean they are going to have a monster game, and vice versa. In the "Hits and Misses" column read the two to three sentences to see what I mean by "HIT" or "MISS." Also, whenever I talk about fantasy points I am speaking of ESPN Standard League Scoring.

With Kenny Britt's season ending ACL/MCL tear Nate Washington stands to benefit the most. Also benefiting from a starter not playing could be Bernard Scott with Cedric Benson's upcoming suspension. Finally, if your first three catches in your NFL career go for touchdowns, you will be picked up in fantasy football, if only on speculation. If you have room on your roster, stash Smith there and see how he plays for the next few weeks. As far as Grossman, you could do a lot worse for a bye week quarterback than Sexy Rexy. David Nelson has 20 catches in three games and the Bills do not look like they are abandoning the passing game any time soon. Nelson is third on the depth chart but is making catches and getting yards out of the slot.

Hits and Misses from Week 3

Jay Cutler, MISS - "He will probably be sacked around four times and throw two picks." Three sacks and two picks puts me spot on. Also, Cutler finished 11th (again in ESPN standard scoring) among quarterbacks for the week.

Matt Forte, HIT - Hard to call a two yard rushing performance with no touchdowns a hit. But he did finish in the top 25 for running backs (it was that kind of week), including ending ahead of Jahvid Best, Ben Tate, Chris Johnson and Rashard Mendenhall. He did this by grabbing 80 receiving yards. Still, it would have been nice to get a score out of him, but this is a hit only by how much worse other running backs did than him.

Tony Romo, HIT - I took a shot, and I was wrong. The Cowboys won, and Romo was key in leading the winning drive, but he never scored, threw one interception and ended with eight fantasy points.

Ben Roethlisberger, HIT - The guy threw for 364 yards, you would think that would lead to more than just one touchdown. But three turnovers has Big Ben looking like the Big Bust for the third week in a row.

Josh Freeman, MISS - Freeman's rushing touchdown saved him from having a God-awful day, and put him straddling the line between a terrible and a decent-to-middling day.

Maurice Jones-Drew, HIT - No touchdowns, but he rushed for 122 yards on 24 attempts and caught three passes for 45 yards. 16 fantasy points was good enough to be the eighth best back this week.

Cedric Benson, HIT - Two weeks in a row I have been waiting for Benson to break out, and it hasn't happened yet. With a potential three game suspension looming I am cutting bait on Benson.

Thomas Jones and Dexter McCluster, MISS - 29 total combined touches (rushing and receiving) for a total of 95 all-purpose yards. No touchdowns. If you combined them this week they were still barely a starting back.

Steve Smith, HIT - Two catches for 27 yards and no touchdowns a HIT does not make.

Reggie Wayne, MISS - Neither does three for 24 yards and no TDs.

AJ Green, HIT - Again, no scores and only 29 receiving yards.

Deion Branch, HIT - Tom Brady threw 45 times, completing 30 of them. Of those 30, 23 were caught by either Wes Welker or Rob Gronkowski (including all four touchdowns). Of Brady's 387 yards Welker and Gronkowski nabbed 326 of them. This leaves seven potential catches and 61 potential yards (although no touchdowns) for Branch to have had. His final numbers? 0 and 0.

Hakeem Nicks, MISS - Manning threw four touchdowns, none to Nicks who finished with two fantasy points.

Rob Gronkowski, HIT - see above.

I finish 8-6 on the week and 17-10-1 for the season.

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